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Opinion / Op-Ed Contributors

Overcoming HK's economic woes

By Dan Steinbock (China Daily) Updated: 2013-12-11 07:20

For three decades, Hong Kong has thrived economically along with the Chinese mainland. Now its economic future is at a crossroads. According to a poll conducted by South China Morning Post, Hong Kong residents are far more unhappy with life than those in cities on the mainland.

Usually, people feel happier when their living standards are better. In Hong Kong, the per capita GDP at purchasing power parity is $52,000. In the polled mainland cities, it is between $16,000 and $21,000, that is, only 30-40 percent that of Hong Kong. But instead of being twice as happy as their compatriots on the mainland, Hong Kong residents are unhappy. Why?

For all practical purposes, different reasons are responsible for the increasingly grim mood Hong Kong residents find themselves in. Some observers argue that it involves the "tumbling" popularity of the city's leader Leung Chun-ying. Others blame high property prices for the gloom. Some parents dislike the new education curriculum, while others complain there are not enough discretionary seats in primary schools.

Still others want more democracy. On Jan 1, thousands of protesters took to the streets in Hong Kong demanding more democracy and returned to the streets with the same demand on July 1, the 16th anniversary of Hong Kong's return to the motherland.

Then there are people who grumble that the influx of people from the mainland is straining the city's resources and pushing up prices, from real estate to baby formula. Indeed, recent surveys show that negative views in Hong Kong toward newcomers from the mainland are at their highest in years.

And yet, the fact remains that mainland tourists and residents are now a vital source of revenue for Hong Kong. And as Hong Kong is maturing and aging, the mainland offers youthful demographics and growth injections - great complementary benefits that Hong Kong urgently needs.

When the Chinese mainland was insulated, Hong Kong thrived. In fact, Hong Kong continued to thrive for years after reforms and opening-up were launched in the mainland. But as the mainland's economic development is catching up with that of Hong Kong, the latter risks becoming marginalized.

True, Hong Kong still tops the ranking of international financial centers by foreign direct investment (FDI) in terms of services. But it is followed by Shanghai, which seeks to become a world-class financial, trade and shipping center by 2020. The mainland's financial reforms, along with the likely internationalization of the renminbi in the near future, are boosting Shanghai's advantages.

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