综合一区欧美国产,99国产麻豆免费精品,九九精品黄色录像,亚洲激情青青草,久久亚洲熟妇熟,中文字幕av在线播放,国产一区二区卡,九九久久国产精品,久久精品视频免费

Opinion / Op-Ed Contributors

Potential impact of migrants on Europe

By Holger Schmieding (China Daily) Updated: 2015-09-17 07:45

Potential impact of migrants on Europe

Policemen watch as migrants walk on the other side of the border from Serbia near Asttohatolom, Hungary September 15, 2015. [Photo/Agencies]

To some extent, the pictures of migrants trying to make their way north after having crossed the Mediterranean or Aegean Sea illustrates an age-old truth: Besides unrest, destitution back home and attempts to flee war, migrants also want to work.

In Europe today that mostly means going to Germany, Scandinavian countries, Britain and other places, such as the Netherlands.

As free movement of labor is one of the founding principles of the European Union, many migrants will likely end up where the jobs are and, to a lesser extent, where other migrants from their home region have already settled to provide start-up comfort and support.

Take Germany, a favorite destination of the new migrants, as an example. According to recent reports, Germany may receive 400,000 to 500,000 more immigrants this year than it expected six months ago. If so, that would add 0.5 percent to 0.6 percent to the German resident population. For the EU average, the increase may be half that scale.

The EU needs some common response. That should include a clearer foreign policy designed to stabilize Syria and Libya, urging Turkey to play a fully constructive role, and a common definition of who qualifies as a refugee and who can be sent back to safe countries of origin in the Western Balkans.

Of course, a quota system to distribute refugees can make sense to process their claims fast. However, those who are accepted may ultimately move to where the jobs are and not respect an initial quota distribution between, say, Germany and Hungary or Britain and France for very long.

Expect a small stimulus to aggregate demand. Extra spending on migration-related issues may amount to 0.3 percent to 0.4 percent of annual GDP in Germany and perhaps a few other places.

Some other countries will likely quote this as a reason to exceed fiscal targets. On balance, the result could be a near-term stimulus to demand some 0.2 percent of the eurozone GDP for the second half of 2015 and probably all of 2016.

Previous Page 1 2 Next Page

...
河北省| 蒙山县| 瑞昌市| 宜黄县| 孟连| 涞水县| 攀枝花市| 革吉县| 德江县| 政和县| 十堰市| 洛浦县| 江永县| 岐山县| 奇台县| 嘉兴市| 婺源县| 永善县| 陕西省| 盐源县| 浠水县| 颍上县| 东兴市| 青岛市| 若羌县| 宁国市| 简阳市| 塘沽区| 杨浦区| 西林县| 青阳县| 石门县| 株洲县| 都匀市| 浙江省| 石城县| 龙山县| 宜兰市| 黎川县| 潞西市| 樟树市|